Flat-Monastery
0x2921ba63ab2cdf4622623ab609ab415df2ac1706
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$18.05
Total PnL
$-9.93
Realised
$2.18
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.62
$1.52
- YES
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
96 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.50
$2.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 42.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.46
$0.76
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
4 shares @ 71.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.43
$-0.59
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 72.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.41
$-0.05
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5 shares @ 27.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$-0.13
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$-0.34
- YES
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?
9 shares @ 20.1¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.06
$-0.80
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1 shares @ 47.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.55
$0.07
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 30.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?$0.13Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?$6.13Jun 12, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?$0.20Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$0.21Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 10?$0.26Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?$6.32Jun 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?$4.53Jun 11, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.