Ill-Molding
0x292fda147a56c62eb4aff804087ad09b5f3536af
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$86.21
Total PnL
$-74.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$33.97
$14.27
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
21 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.04
$0.74
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.66
$2.66
- NO
Government shutdown on Saturday?
11 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$10.77
$2.77
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 92.4¢·now 62.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
330 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-69.69
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$8.00Feb 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$20.00Feb 13, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$20.00Feb 13, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$50.00Feb 13, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$0.03Jan 26, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$20.00Jan 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$2.54Jan 23, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$1.00Jan 22, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on January 22?$5.72Jan 22, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 22?$22.20Jan 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?$20.38Jan 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 22?$20.81Jan 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on January 22?$20.00Jan 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 22?$20.00Jan 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 22?$20.00Jan 22, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?$20.00Jan 22, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLApple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?$25.59Jan 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?$20.00Jan 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.30Jan 20, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $15.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.