Vain-Denominator
0x29373ce934f5659120c7e3326373a58f12cfcd26
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$16.06
Total PnL
$-7.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.88
$0.01
- NO
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.36
$0.02
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.86
$0.04
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.64
$0.01
- NO
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.44
$0.01
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.28
$0.01
- NO
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$2.34May 31, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.82May 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$1.52Apr 30, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$1.27Apr 29, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.52Apr 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.35Apr 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain join the Board of Peace?$1.07Mar 30, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.43Mar 30, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.63Mar 29, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?$2.00Dec 30, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?$1.80Dec 30, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.31Dec 10, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.89Dec 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.20Dec 10, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.09Dec 9, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.11Dec 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.20Dec 9, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.12Dec 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.08Dec 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.20Dec 9, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.