Self-Assured-Retouching
0x29559aed6f5a8e2340c17d5a1b421ff464f5aaaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-180.99
Realised
$-4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?
10185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 1?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 10?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 9?
64 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
62 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.69
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
56 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$9.70Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$2.29Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$7.43May 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.31May 10, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: REKONIX vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$2.50May 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$2.01May 9, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs$1.24May 9, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs$0.86May 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$10.49May 8, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.08May 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.49May 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.11May 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?$5.22May 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?$10.33May 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 10?$10.42May 8, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?$9.20May 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?$2.55May 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?$7.60May 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?$23.07May 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 8?$0.47May 8, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.