Dizzy-Indigence
0x296aadc94a6af7bc4e9f11cf5edf7ff0a7dffb2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$221.50
Realised
$214.83
Win rate
100%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
1887 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.9K
$11.03
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
489 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$479.79
$5.22
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
304 shares @ 95.1¢·now 93.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$283.67
$-5.70
- NO
Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
167 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$165.83
$3.08
- NO
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
160 shares @ 87.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$141.60
$0.96
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?
135 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$134.46
$0.92
- YES
Will United Russia win the next Leningrad Oblast Parliament elections?
127 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$122.22
$2.45
- NO
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
120 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$119.40
$0.24
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$98.10
$0.13
- NO
Will Yabloko win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?
100 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$97.45
$1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?$0.90Aug 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.16Aug 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$399.20Aug 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$99.30Aug 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$19.86Aug 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$29.88Aug 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14.20Aug 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$28.00Aug 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$165.17Aug 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$96.30Aug 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$97.00Aug 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$97.40Aug 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$97.50Aug 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$19.88Aug 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$9.95Aug 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.85Aug 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.84Aug 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.08Aug 16, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.20Aug 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.65Aug 16, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $30.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.