Threadbare-Thought
0x296f1c4c73f1c515d388b41e332af684e1d39d3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$144.79
Total PnL
$-65.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
209 shares @ 38.2¢·now 59.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$123.66
$43.67
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 67.4¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
10 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- TUCO TOKKOS
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
6980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
1190 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1010 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$3.12May 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.46May 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$7.26May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$81.48May 17, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$52.38May 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$10.50May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$10.43May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.13May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.18May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$10.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 17, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$10.30May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.56May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.71May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.53May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.17May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.47May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.78May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.50May 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?$0.54May 16, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.