Crowded-Distance
0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$426.9K
Total PnL
$-61.7K
Realised
$2.7K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
435073 shares @ 69.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$363.3K
$60.9K
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
27232 shares @ 67.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.4K
$2.9K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
16938 shares @ 81.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.8K
$2.1K
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
10799 shares @ 75.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.6K
$414.81
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
4569 shares @ 87.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.5K
$521.84
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
4611 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.1K
$300.60
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
2615 shares @ 82.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.3K
$160.29
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
2264 shares @ 81.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$324.63
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
1921 shares @ 81.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$242.73
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1141 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$998.15
$96.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$38.00Jun 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$31.00Jun 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$22.00Jun 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$21.00Jun 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$140.62Jun 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1000.00Jun 12, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1.2KJun 12, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$982.00Jun 12, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$22.00Jun 12, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$3.6KJun 12, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.9KJun 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$2.2KJun 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.1KJun 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$908.00Jun 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$600.00Jun 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$172.00Jun 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.7KJun 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$33.20Jun 7, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$807.36Jun 7, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$24.1K
Trades
2
Buy share
76%
Window
May 22, 04:10 UTC → May 24, 00:41 UTC
- SELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.7K@82¢May 24, 00:41 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$18.3K@88¢May 22, 04:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$24.1K
2 trades
Buy share
76%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
$18.3K · 76% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $820.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.