Right-Infarction
0x298f20326ac0f69059a62a6d180b708383091601
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$879.71
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$183.99
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4531 shares @ 22.1¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$681.97
$-318.02
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
1719 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$197.74
$-661.98
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
6667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
3500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
1165 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
1011 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
870 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
847 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$7.43Jul 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$79.05Jul 29, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$303.04Jul 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$313.51Jul 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$300.00Jul 27, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$127.58Jul 27, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$100.00Jul 26, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1000.00Jul 26, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 27?$1.3KJul 26, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$550.00Jul 23, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 27?$900.00Jul 23, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.5KJul 23, 22:46 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$10.15Jul 9, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.50Jun 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$6.80Jun 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$79.50Jun 26, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$50.00Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$50.00Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$170.50Jun 26, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $373.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.