Distorted-Shoulder
0x29a6b177fd5cdbba9c00fd42a9a05ccafe2606af
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$644.06
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3226 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$643.55
$-356.45
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1027 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.51
$-366.65
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
6003 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
2971 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
2325 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
2311 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
1889 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1270 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
819 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-294.72
- NO
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
811 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-164.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.