Rough-Prior
0x29a6b3e2f546f2ff211905cde9b0eb7a86566ea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-51.5K
Realised
$127.18
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?
773 shares @ 64.4¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$510.33
$12.05
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2475 shares @ 40.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$507.43
$-491.09
- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
900 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.45
$-298.95
- OVER
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
794 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.40
$-499.60
- YES
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score
568 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.28
$-249.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
4748 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-699.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
4024 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
3960 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-463.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
3515 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
2955 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5$94.61May 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5$6.19May 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.4KMay 17, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnglish Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?$101.32May 17, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5$3.9KMay 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$33.31May 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$15.63May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.0KMay 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$26.34May 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.58May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$58.66May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$20.94May 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?$905.56May 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5$2.5KMay 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?$507.05May 17, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?$3.4KMay 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.92May 17, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.91May 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.26May 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYComo 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score$254.20May 17, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $652.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".