Needy-Clause
0x29a96de59861c15de499bde547fe22bac392dd38
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$107.73
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-777.38
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
96 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$95.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.39
$0.03
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1302 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-650.88
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.50
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
469 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-234.50
- DUCKS
Stars vs. Ducks
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.