Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$107.33

Total PnL

$-2.4K

Realised

$-777.38

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 21

NO
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
96 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$94.95
$-0.05
NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$12.38
$0.02
NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1302 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-650.88
NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-499.50
NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-9.50
NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
469 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-234.50
DUCKS
Stars vs. Ducks
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-150.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:14 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity47 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry48 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk74 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 4
Avg trade size: $28.63
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 1, 00:13 UTC
Last active: Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:21:20 UTC·src:Polymarket Data