Unaware-Walrus
0x29c5d58d3b9b43f89da8c1edef7a9561bd1790ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-629.24
Realised
$518.53
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-57.72
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
13964 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
11503 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-144.87
- YES
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
1994 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-64.51
- YES
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CANADA
Final Stage: Canada vs. USA
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
468 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$18.18Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$10.80Jul 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$3.14Jul 12, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$5.22Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$5.18Jul 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$10.42Jul 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$1.05Jul 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$10.23Jul 9, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.33Jun 30, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.29Jun 30, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.39Jun 30, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.99Jun 30, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$3.08Jun 30, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$7.18Jun 30, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$5.00Jun 30, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.