Decent-Operating
0x29cdf58062d08f75e4a439dbdc94e8cb0b706a31
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$67.12
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C or below on March 21?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$11.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 20?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$10.50
$0.01
- NO
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
9 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.00
$0.86
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
8 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.00
$0.41
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
7 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on March 21?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$6.60
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$6.02
$0.07
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. 76ers
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
1464 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-995.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?$5.95Mar 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 20?$10.49Mar 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C or below on March 21?$10.98Mar 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on March 21?$6.59Mar 20, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.00Mar 20, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$26.02Mar 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$25.89Mar 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$8.98Mar 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$8.14Mar 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.08Mar 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$7.59Mar 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.90Mar 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$16.97Mar 13, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.61Mar 13, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$26.00Mar 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.59Feb 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$16.90Feb 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$25.90Feb 28, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?$63.38Jan 1, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?$63.25Dec 31, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $116.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.