Whimsical-Tic
0x29d1c9871cae9fa43f990aeea38bc22f2bd27102
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$208.04
Total PnL
$-495.86
Realised
$28.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$111.18
$11.18
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.06
$2.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$1.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.80
$0.80
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.64
$1.64
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2398 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
292 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.80
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
267 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
245 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$218.75Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $25.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.