Disguised-Ephyra
0x29e3895d765f6236eda40b4d7bc36f6fa811ea78
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$592.16
Total PnL
$-605.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
2337 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$479.04
$11.68
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$83.33
$-16.67
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
458 shares @ 21.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.78
$-70.22
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
479 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
295 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)
29 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29)
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$309.60May 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$101.53May 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$101.69May 17, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$17.82May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$172.72May 2, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?$172.72May 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 1, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$100.00Mar 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$192.71Mar 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Memphis Roundtable?$100.00Mar 23, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Mar 23, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.00Mar 22, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?$100.00Mar 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$200.00Mar 20, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$100.00Mar 20, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $107.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.