BusinessExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Probability

84¢

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$799.05

Liquidity

$23.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 00:00Apr 24, 2026, 21:29

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6002.5h
LOW
21:29Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6003h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
21:00Price
Probability up 5.0pp
to 84¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 5.0pp
to 84¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 81¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 81¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 83¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 82¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket