0x29f08d9af246acd381b26fd599597e59979fb56f
0x29f08d9af246acd381b26fd599597e59979fb56f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$280.81
Total PnL
$-8.34
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 53.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$17.61
$4.42
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.07
$7.07
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
17 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
14 shares @ 73.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.74
$2.74
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
14 shares @ 64.4¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.40
$2.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 28.4¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.81
$3.74
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 49.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$8.91
$-6.03
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$8.66
$3.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?$1.51Aug 18, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.50Aug 18, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)$1.34Aug 18, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMThailand vs. Singapore: O/U 3.5$1.74Aug 18, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand vs. Singapore: O/U 3.5$1.21Aug 18, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$1.22Aug 18, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMClub Puebla leading at halftime?$0.00Aug 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?$5.05Aug 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?$5.08Aug 18, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5$0.00Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)$1.17Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)$0.00Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)$3.51Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5$5.15Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)$1.06Aug 18, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Puebla leading at halftime?$3.35Aug 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)$1.48Aug 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)$3.40Aug 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?$4.91Aug 18, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?$4.06Aug 18, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.