Elementary-Laboratory
0x29fc000762f9f412f0f2203a3614cdfc449606b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$67.91
Realised
$0.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2832 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
700 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$677.95
$2.45
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$397.00
$49.10
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
257 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$248.20
$6.32
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
192 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.34
$2.12
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
180 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$171.90
$7.30
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
110 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.60
$2.80
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$0.50
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.98
$0.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2832 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.90
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.31Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$400.00Jun 12, 02:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$45.50Jun 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$45.50Jun 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$48.00Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$73.60Jun 11, 20:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$36.81Jun 10, 02:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$0.70Jun 8, 19:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$12.80Jun 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $5.16Jun 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $3.47Jun 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $11.95Jun 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $11.41Jun 7, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $2.41Jun 7, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $32.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.