Rubbery-Pneumonia
0x2a10d11f982ac8488cfb50f2b3408fdb0155e442
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-930.12
Realised
$115.43
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
725 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$725.00
$0.72
- OVER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5
305 shares @ 28.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$305.00
$219.29
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
396 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$97.02
$-61.38
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
76 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$37.24
$-3.04
- NO
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
11 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.00
$1.38
- NO
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$0.27
- YES
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.80
$0.87
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.72
$-1.03
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.25
$-0.59
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 27.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$560.06Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$573.72Apr 23, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$4.00Apr 14, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$7.00Apr 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$224.96Apr 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$183.16Apr 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$155.80Apr 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$28.10Apr 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$28.94Apr 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$28.66Apr 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.32Apr 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$80.52Apr 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$526.82Apr 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$77.77Apr 7, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMNCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?$605.00Mar 31, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?$441.65Mar 24, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$442.32Mar 24, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$453.96Mar 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?$123.05Mar 21, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?$40.25Mar 21, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $178.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.