OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$720.38

Liquidity

$600.60

Probability (last 7 days)

-26.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 102h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 9.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 102.4h

    LOW
  • 17:34Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 102h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.

Biggest hourly move: -20.0pp at 21:00 (to 7¢).

Show all 36 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -12.5pp → 11¢
  • 16:00 · -11.5pp → 11¢
  • 14:00 · -16.0pp → 7¢
  • 12:00 · -5.0pp → 7¢
  • 11:00 · -15.5pp → 7¢
  • 09:00 · -16.5pp → 7¢
  • 08:00 · -11.5pp → 13¢
  • 06:00 · -13.5pp → 13¢
  • 05:00 · -15.5pp → 13¢
  • 03:00 · -12.5pp → 13¢
  • 02:00 · -16.0pp → 12¢
  • 00:00 · -14.0pp → 10¢
  • 23:00 · -16.0pp → 10¢
  • 21:00 · -20.0pp → 7¢
  • 20:00 · -19.0pp → 8¢
  • 18:00 · -10.5pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · -14.5pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · -9.5pp → 18¢
  • 1d ago · -17.0pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · -16.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · -17.0pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · -15.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · -15.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -12.5pp → 19¢
  • 2d ago · -11.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -11.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -11.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · -17.0pp → 23¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the data available at that timeAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
silicondata.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.