Obedient-Keep
0x2a26a466a8826ba6ff6516e3790e034bf9fb5db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.13
Total PnL
$-51.20
Realised
$5.49
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$-0.01
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.05
$0.01
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.01
$-0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
944 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
155 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
73 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
67 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
29 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.77May 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.86May 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.86May 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.91May 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.01May 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.19May 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.11May 19, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.11May 19, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.28May 19, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.48May 19, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.57May 19, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 19, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.32May 19, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.04May 19, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.24May 19, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.27May 19, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.89May 19, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.45May 19, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.63May 19, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".