Chief-Plan
0x2a28dfa897d489fe047d45059c85e7299122c2e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$42.79
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?
1772 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.87
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1115 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on December 17?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 8?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
895 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-85.91
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
877 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 18?
452 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$492.52Jul 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$193.98Jul 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.78Jul 15, 11:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $117.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.