Polished-Winter
0x2a48cdef338f1dfb1049ccfad154feefb2729ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$6.46
Total PnL
$-73.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.45
$-0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29?
3202 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 20?
2296 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.89
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?
2174 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?
2089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?
2083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?
2068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1?
2060 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.75Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.97Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$11.45Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$11.40May 26, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$11.57May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$11.50May 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?$3.68May 14, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?$1.8KMay 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?$1.8KMay 12, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?$1.8KMay 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?$1.8KMay 12, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$1.8KMay 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$1.8KMay 12, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11?$1.8KMay 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11?$1.8KMay 11, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?$1.8KMay 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?$1.8KMay 11, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?$1.8KMay 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?$1.8KMay 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?$3.68May 9, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".