Scientific-Gesture
0x2a59029aa356d5be902807bdc71aa9cc0f34dcc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$9.86
Total PnL
$-185.19
Realised
$-6.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$9.86
$4.24
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
355 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-55.58
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
76 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Andor win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?
58 shares @ 81.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
32 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.95
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
31 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.19
- YES
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?
26 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$50.58Jan 11, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$6.49Jan 2, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$44.09Jan 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.19Nov 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.19Nov 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2025-11-16?$4.71Nov 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hungary win on 2025-11-16?$4.71Nov 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2025-11-16?$10.71Nov 16, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$10.71Nov 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)$11.95Oct 31, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.00Oct 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$10.00Oct 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?$11.07Oct 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?$5.00Oct 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$5.00Oct 7, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMSelena Gomez married in 2025?$14.29Sep 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.61Sep 27, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?$5.00Sep 20, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2025-09-09?$3.00Sep 9, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$3.00Sep 4, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".