Far-Off-Randomization
0x2a649844bec72c5397051e2bd46b10668534cc86
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$53.22
Total PnL
$0.22
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.20 in July?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.07
$0.08
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$19.99Jul 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.00Jul 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.20 in July?$20.01Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.02Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 in June?$12.12Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$12.55Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$17.02Jul 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$12.50Jun 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$12.01Jun 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.00Jun 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$17.00Jun 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.02Jun 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.01Jun 23, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$11.64Jun 23, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in May?$20.14Jun 23, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00May 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$11.55May 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.00May 11, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in May?$20.01May 11, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.01May 11, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $17.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.