Grounded-Tract
0x2a7e8100ccf0efc7a52c15b324d7190a1a71f25f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$244.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?
246 shares @ 81.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$226.07
$26.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?
257 shares @ 77.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$222.07
$22.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
288 shares @ 48.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$220.68
$79.68
- NO
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
260 shares @ 71.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$216.90
$32.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$212.66
$12.66
- NO
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
267 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$198.67
$-1.33
- NO
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$73.61
$23.61
- NO
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
127 shares @ 23.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$66.51
$36.51
- NO
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
44 shares @ 49.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$34.40
$12.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$41.54May 14, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$42.10May 14, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$44.48May 14, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$44.34May 14, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$99.85May 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$21.91May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?$201.77May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.92May 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?$201.49May 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?$202.00May 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.92May 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$102.24May 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$186.99May 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$201.68May 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$802.40Mar 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$198.60Mar 23, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$651.37Mar 22, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Mar 22, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Mar 22, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$20.00Dec 31, 20:41 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 01:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".