Grand-Diabetes
0x2a97d5cd94a9a513b3e55d9ef6c9c4c7b86328d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.98
Total PnL
$-50.19
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?
1158 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 6?
1116 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 2?
1109 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
1106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 8?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 6?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 17?
1090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 13?$2.12Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?$2.14Jun 4, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 2, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.22May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 26?$2.13May 26, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.11May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.10May 21, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$2.16May 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.22May 14, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?$1.1KMay 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?$1.1KMay 13, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?$1.1KMay 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?$1.1KMay 12, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?$1.1KMay 11, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?$1.1KMay 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?$1.1KMay 9, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $334.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.