Subdued-Suspenders
0x2a9ce08cdc5f8e3916cd4d82e675b86a8d221322
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$29.95
Total PnL
$-41.70
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
10 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$10.00
$0.44
- NO
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.21
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$5.00
$1.85
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
6 shares @ 80.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.95
$-0.26
- YES
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 33m?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 10+ times during the FED board meeting on October 24?
26 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on November 8?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?$5.00Nov 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$3.15Nov 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?$4.87Nov 8, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on November 8?$4.30Nov 8, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani Parlay$4.79Nov 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on November 8?$3.10Nov 8, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 37m?$1.00Nov 8, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 35m?$1.15Nov 8, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 33m?$1.00Nov 8, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$3.33Nov 8, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?$5.00Nov 8, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add more than 125k jobs in September?$5.00Nov 8, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?$5.00Nov 8, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US loose jobs in September?$5.00Nov 8, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$4.05Nov 3, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?$4.16Nov 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$4.76Nov 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add more than 125k jobs in September?$4.53Nov 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?$4.42Nov 2, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$10.00Nov 2, 19:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.