Considerate-Success
0x2ac5d02d79e928ab4c1bcb0674c7c3332ef92a5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$49.75
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
163 shares @ 61.3¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.75
$-50.25
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
4887 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1027 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
442 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
328 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
250 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
236 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?
222 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
215 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$222.22Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$101.38Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$101.65May 31, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$51.97May 15, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$52.75May 13, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$208.22May 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$189.64Apr 21, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$300.00Apr 21, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$200.00Apr 21, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$50.00Apr 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$100.00Apr 21, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$149.73Apr 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$100.00Apr 12, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$686.95Apr 11, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$50.00Apr 10, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$20.00Apr 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$20.00Apr 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$72.00Apr 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$94.76Apr 8, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $103.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.