Portly-Sociology-Ninja
0x2ad3c1d4e0c998c0eeca7642bfba67da38c5a020
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.12
Total PnL
$-62.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$-0.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 30?
6254 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.76
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 8?
4159 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 6?
4151 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 3?
4112 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?
2106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 10?
2103 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?
2103 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?
2101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.59Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$6.22Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$6.20May 30, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$6.02May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$6.00May 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$6.22May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?$6.20May 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$6.22May 12, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?$6.20May 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$4.21Apr 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?$4.21Apr 23, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.26Apr 21, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 19, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 on April 18?$2.1KApr 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 on April 18?$2.1KApr 18, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 18?$2.1KApr 18, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $798.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.