Fixed-Populist
0x2ad9bcc77c6bc3130e4b46fb7f1221a2f6d0737e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$17.90
Total PnL
$-114.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
21 shares @ 34.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.63
$-2.37
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.63
$-0.74
- YES
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
22 shares @ 13.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.98
$-2.01
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?
41 shares @ 24.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-9.08
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-4.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-2.20
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.60Mar 3, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$2.63Mar 3, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.96Mar 3, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$1.97Mar 3, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$7.00Mar 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 90 and 100?$1.00Mar 3, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be 100 or more?$1.00Mar 3, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$11.98Mar 3, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$2.37Mar 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by December 31?$1.00Mar 3, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.88Mar 3, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$6.00Feb 20, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?$3.00Feb 20, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 03:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.