Firm-Gander
0x2b1835a944db9963914cc9b16ca9f209b53bd3d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$400.84
Total PnL
$-1.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July?
385 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$384.31
$0.19
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.15
$-1.85
- NO
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.65
$-0.02
- NO
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.47
$-0.03
- NO
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$-0.01
- NO
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.67
$-0.02
- NO
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.30
$-0.00
- NO
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.01
- NO
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25?$1.01Jul 27, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July?$384.12Jul 26, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill no MrBeast video be posted?$1.05Jul 25, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the earnings call not air?$2.81Jul 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the earnings call not air?$2.80Jul 24, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$23.00Jul 22, 09:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$124.99Jul 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$0.91Jul 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$37.30Jul 21, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie's remarks not air?$1.21Jul 21, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$1.30Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$1.50Jul 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$1.30Jul 20, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$3.00Jul 20, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$1.80Jul 20, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?$1.40Jul 20, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $52.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.