Disastrous-Evidence
0x2b25ffa53c41e5ac8498b273f844c1a4469589fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$32.81
Total PnL
$-18.28
Realised
$-3.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in August?
23 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$13.74
$0.92
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$13.50
$2.10
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $125 in August?
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July?
13 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- YES
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in August?$13.05Aug 1, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $125 in August?$6.09Aug 1, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?$11.60Aug 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$0.11Jul 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$13.33Jul 31, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?$10.17Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$7.11Jul 29, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.83Jul 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July?$10.44Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$1.92Jul 27, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$8.13Jul 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$2.53Jul 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.60Jul 23, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$6.09Jul 22, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.73Jul 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in July?$4.36Jul 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.89Jul 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.21Jul 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July?$8.47Jul 12, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$8.48Jul 12, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.