Scarce-Snuggle
0x2b2631f3388134832575d4f025554af0e965b3f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$720.36
Total PnL
$-14.2K
Realised
$-172.54
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
659 shares @ 85.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$421.65
$-138.35
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
886 shares @ 56.5¢·now 19.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$168.28
$-331.72
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
371 shares @ 46.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$100.05
$-73.61
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
3235 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$27.50
$-772.49
- YES
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
215 shares @ 23.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.69
$-47.31
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
366 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.18
$-212.10
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
4960 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-397.98
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
4902 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-904.21
- YES
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
3206 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-297.66
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
3202 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-957.11
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.46Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$560.00Jul 23, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 15?$500.00Jul 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$50.00Jul 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$514.97Jul 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$309.12Jul 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$212.28Jul 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$17.49Jul 23, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$56.18Jul 23, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$129.63Jul 23, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$88.89Jul 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$32.78Jul 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$100.00Jul 19, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$100.00Jul 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$100.00Jul 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$100.00Jul 19, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$327.42Jul 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$900.00Jul 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$500.00Jul 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jul 15, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $191.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.