Wan-Button
0x2b321580e2e51cbfb647b5a92185227551bce021
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$172.66
Total PnL
$-78.10
Realised
$-0.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$29.68
$-0.01
- NO
Will Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
27 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 12, 2026$27.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$21.99
$0.05
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?
22 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$21.99
$0.17
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$21.97
$0.23
- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
24 shares @ 98.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$20.17
$-3.83
- NO
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
18 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$17.85
$-0.01
- NO
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
12 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$11.82
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?
27 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.73
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?
12 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$17.871h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$27.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$29.721h ago
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?$30.002h ago
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 11?$30.002h ago
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 11?$29.714h ago
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?$29.715h ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?$30.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Secret" this week?$29.712d ago
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 Week of May 4 2026?$5.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $390?$30.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 8?$19.633d ago
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?$30.003d ago
- REDEEMCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?$30.003d ago
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 8?$30.013d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$30.343d ago
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$30.033d ago
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?$29.713d ago
- TRADEBUYCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?$29.713d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $25.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
