Quirky-Crusader
0x2b39e1cc06758e0dcae61b15e244b39056e1cf2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$803.38
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
13000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-167.91
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?
12300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-49.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 12?
2600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?
2248 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-82.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10?
2200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?
1773 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-66.28
- UP
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?$1.10May 21, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?$11.00May 21, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?$4.73May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?$8.00May 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.04May 21, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$18.00May 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$11.69May 20, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.70May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.60May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.56May 15, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.29May 15, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.01May 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?$2.14May 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?$0.07May 11, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?$6.61May 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 11?$73.69May 11, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 11?$88.92May 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?$9.18May 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 11?$30.03May 11, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $19.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.