Enchanted-Volunteer
0x2b483f17511e096565f2dc207bd5ad3d77bef27e
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$212.63
Total PnL
$-299.95
Realised
$-7.58
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$109.89
$9.89
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
103 shares @ 58.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.34
$-4.66
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.25
$-18.75
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$16.15
$-33.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
3493 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $34.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.