Wise-Ultimatum
0x2b8bf505a0ecec8a40db2fbc6a6a2214cc84dd15
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
10099 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10AM ET
9261 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2AM ET
5468 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
3250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 25, 7AM ET
2653 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3AM ET
2643 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 12AM ET
2496 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 10AM ET
1966 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 12AM ET
1944 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-972.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
1800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 29?$0.02May 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 29?$0.20May 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 29?$0.82May 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$261.00May 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$85.04May 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$896.71May 18, 16:00 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$1.2KMay 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 22?$859.14Apr 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 22?$384.62Apr 22, 15:33 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 22?$1.2KApr 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$1.2KApr 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$7.46Apr 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$58.58Apr 17, 14:29 UTC
- SPLITWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$1.2KApr 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$165.83Apr 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$493.33Apr 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$4.93Apr 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$99.90Apr 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$226.14Apr 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$1.19Apr 12, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $721.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".