Bowed-Placebo
0x2b9a247496d728ff27457f1ab17289bd6063d233
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$531.92
Total PnL
$53.75
Realised
$7.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
130 shares @ 67.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.44
$-2.96
- NO
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
91 shares @ 87.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$78.80
$-0.70
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
97 shares @ 72.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.30
$1.80
- TYLOO
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs
70 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$69.95
$18.86
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
63 shares @ 48.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$48.70
$18.33
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
38 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.05
$2.45
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$29.82
$-0.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 69.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.67
$3.39
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
25 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$23.40
$3.88
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.78
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs$3.263h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs$13.493h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs$13.523h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs$13.523h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs$2.923h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs$4.423h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$16.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$16.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$16.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$16.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$16.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$16.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$30.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?$30.005h ago
- YIELD$0.0118h ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$28.601d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$28.601d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$40.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$40.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$30.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".