Weak-Census
0x2b9b0cda300ee93ba73bb58bbda14fdb19397feb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$31.57
Total PnL
$-308.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
151 shares @ 18.5¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.13
$-6.87
- NO
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
11 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.44
$0.44
- YES
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?
133 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
130 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
123 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
93 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
86 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$10.00Mar 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$10.00Mar 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?$10.00Mar 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$20.00Mar 22, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.35Mar 16, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.66Mar 16, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.49Mar 16, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$18.66Mar 16, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$19.05Mar 16, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.83Mar 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$5.00Jan 11, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.