Bleak-Hostess
0x2bad90ea9daa7a2b01c2b47cf53d331b61f108a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-866.71
Realised
$-2.97
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
529 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-263.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in December 2025?
390 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
323 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
239 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
223 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 22, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 20?
124 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on November 8?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?$20.00Apr 22, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$25.00Mar 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$38.00Mar 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.19Mar 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$11.43Mar 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$200.00Mar 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.00Mar 9, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.00Mar 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$105.18Mar 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$2.69Mar 2, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$6.72Mar 2, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$25.00Mar 1, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$66.07Feb 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$4.43Feb 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$25.00Feb 25, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$25.00Feb 25, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$25.00Feb 25, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$87.75Feb 25, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $49.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.