Vast-Umbrella
0x2bc74f012dcbb8b79be6de784e97e41041b84116
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.22
Total PnL
$-12.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- UP
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on December 10?
742 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Datadog Inc (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?$1.00May 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$1.02May 9, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.04May 9, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 9, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$1.01May 9, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.03May 9, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$1.14May 9, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$3.45May 9, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?$1.00Apr 5, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1.00Apr 5, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$1.04Apr 5, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Apr 5, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates$1.56Apr 5, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Mar 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Mar 13, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Mar 13, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 03:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 03:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".