Cooked-Labour
0x2bcfe4a4aa6e3ecaaa4883bd2e68a6868b053c91
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$148.96
Total PnL
$-65.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.09
$7.09
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.93
$6.93
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$23.61
$3.61
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
37 shares @ 27.3¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
9927 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
26 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
23 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$20.36Jul 20, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.72Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.33Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$124.91Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$14.35Jul 16, 09:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.29Jul 10, 08:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$10.18Jul 9, 13:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $13.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.