Slimy-Haven
0x2be0757e12e38ac00098f721368bd91aceda5862
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$424.10
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
331 shares @ 90.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$322.35
$22.35
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.74
$1.74
- YES
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
3797 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-288.24
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
763 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
646 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
313 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
150 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.11
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
142 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$112.36Jul 19, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$9.99Jul 18, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$9.99Jul 10, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$10.00Jul 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$9.99Jul 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$301.13Jul 10, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$0.00Jul 10, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$411.81Jul 9, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$100.33Jun 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$303.26Jun 23, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$51.50Jun 23, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$102.09Jun 23, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$7.12Jun 23, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$51.29Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.12Jun 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.24Jun 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.12Jun 19, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $69.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.