Wavy-Dough
0x2c1116d3d3414b17d06076e3b3b6cd8f3795ef93
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$645.41
Total PnL
$-451.33
Realised
$25.24
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?
481 shares @ 22.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$218.64
$112.92
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?
1500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$97.50
$7.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.25
$9.75
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.50
$-1.50
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.50
$6.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 17.4¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.30
$1.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.30
$0.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.50
$9.50
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$28.48
$3.49
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1070 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.79
$-21.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.18May 18, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$17.77May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.03May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.07May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.05May 18, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$100.00May 18, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$50.00May 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?$22.50May 17, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$44.50May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$99.87May 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$74.58May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$49.95May 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$49.95May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?$122.09May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$33.50May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$11.03May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$21.63May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$2.33May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.88May 17, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $27.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".