Obvious-Alloy
0x2c181d3b33b27e19c3779c90de0ba8f55b319cb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.90
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$0.12
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.17
$-0.33
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$0.02
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 17.9¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$-0.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
12015 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.0K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
6001 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$4.88Jun 5, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90May 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.32May 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.18May 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.25Apr 29, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?$5.10Apr 29, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?$4.74Mar 12, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?$5.00Mar 12, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?$5.00Nov 23, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$433.31Nov 23, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$445.68Nov 23, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$900.10Nov 23, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.7KNov 23, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2.5KNov 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?$3.90Nov 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$222.84Nov 23, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$216.66Nov 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$450.05Nov 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$849.95Nov 23, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $751.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.