Grouchy-Raven
0x2c1f45b9934b8b825aac5cd763ee8bca56ed298a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
95
Open notional
$30.26
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.92
$2.92
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.90
$1.90
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.45
$0.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
1994 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
506 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
359 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-193.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
359 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-324.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
336 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-329.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
229 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-219.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
176 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$25.67Apr 29, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$111.54Apr 29, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$121.17Apr 29, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$100.00Apr 21, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.00Apr 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.09Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$10.19Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$10.19Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$10.19Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.29Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$10.49Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$11.27Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$11.89Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$11.90Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$14.17Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $33.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".