Passionate-Evil
0x2c4c4ed0b98e6310b4afe39fd4043a668bc9d989
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$35.97
Total PnL
$-30.90
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
24 shares @ 61.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
1 shares @ 88.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- FC BARCELONA
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$1.01May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5$1.01May 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5$1.01May 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$2.01May 15, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$13.73May 14, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$2.01May 14, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-19?$1.01May 14, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 14, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.01May 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$1.00May 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$10.06May 14, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?$1.69May 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 9, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01May 9, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".