Striped-Crazy
0x2c79f60bbed7c69e85a03fc23a4fb935cd64e0aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$12.0K
Total PnL
$312.42
Realised
$34.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2959 shares @ 93.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.9K
$111.02
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 7?
1200 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.2K
$19.60
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
1000 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$986.50
$3.50
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$973.00
$33.00
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$945.00
$15.00
- NO
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
729 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$722.97
$22.97
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
520 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$514.02
$8.44
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
514 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$504.11
$4.11
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
431 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$402.98
$-1.53
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
400 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$366.00
$6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in June?$52.70Jul 3, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$139.84Jul 3, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$16.11Jul 3, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$12.48Jul 3, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$140.10Jul 3, 03:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?$58.21Jul 2, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$81.01Jul 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?$190.65Jul 2, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$500.00Jul 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$252.07Jul 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$38.93Jul 2, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?$4.42Jul 2, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$590.42Jul 2, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$310.66Jul 2, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $54.45Jul 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $4.98Jul 1, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $4.98Jul 1, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?$205.92Jul 1, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $101.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.