Fixed-Federation
0x2c867450d175530d2ad7c675da5bc362da60d86a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
2850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
68 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$150.56Jun 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$148.13Jun 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$148.04Jun 7, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$147.05Jun 5, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$145.15Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$145.01May 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 30, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$140.70May 27, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?$1.02May 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$140.03May 26, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$140.42May 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?$1.00May 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$140.02May 19, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$140.71May 17, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?$1.01May 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?$1.00May 16, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 16, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 16, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$140.04May 16, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $83.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.